3rd IASC world conference on
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
Amathus Beach Hotel, Limassol, Cyprus, 28-31 October, 2005


Scientific Programme

Thursday 27th October 2005
16:00 - 19:00     Registration

Friday 28th October 2005
08:00 - 08:15     Opening of the Conference
08:15 - 09:15     R1+2     Methodology plenary talk (Rand Wilcox)
09:15 - 10:30     Coffee Break
10:30 - 12:30     PARALLEL SESSIONS A
          R1     T02A: Robust and Nonparametric Methods
          R3+4+5     T04A: Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
          R6+7     T07A: Clinical Trials
          R8+9     T09A: Machine Learning and Scientific Computing
          R2     T13A: Advances in Mixture Models
          R10     T18A: Flexible Function Estimation
          Med-1     Tut4A: Tutorial on Statistical Signal Extraction and Filtering
12:30 - 14:30     Break and IASC Council Meeting
14:30 - 16:30     PARALLEL SESSIONS B
          R1     T02B: Robust and Nonparametric Methods
          R6+7     T04B: Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
          R2     T05B: Computer-Intensive Methods
          R8+9     T06B: Statistical Learning Methods
          R3+4+5     T08B: Statistics for Functional Data
          R10     T11B: Latent Variable and SEM
          Med-1     Tut1B: Tutorial on Techniques for Evaluating Trading Strategies
16:30 - 17:00     Coffee Break
17:00 - 18:00     PARALLEL SESSIONS C
          R6+7     T00C: Contribution to Statistics
          R8+9     T02C: Robust and Nonparametric Methods
          R3+4+5     T12C: Statistical Signal Extraction & Filtering
18:15 - 19:15     R1+2     Computational Statistics plenary talk (Manfred Gilli)
         
20:15 -       Reception

Saturday 29th October 2005
08:00 - 10:00     PARALLEL SESSIONS D
          R1     T02D: Robust and Nonparametric Methods
          R11     T03D: Model Selection & Optimization Heuristics
          R2     T06D: Statistical Learning Methods
          R10     T12D: Statistical Signal Extraction & Filtering
          R8+9     T17D: Financial Econometrics
          R6+7     T25D: Statistical Algorithms and Software
          R3+4+5     T27D: Analysis of Symbolic and Structured Data
          Med-1     Tut2D: Tutorial on Parallel Eigenvalue Solvers
10:00 - 10:30     Coffee Break
10:30 - 12:30     PARALLEL SESSIONS E
          R1     T02E: Robust and Nonparametric Methods
          R3+4+5     T04E: Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
          R11     T08E: Statistics for Functional Data
          R8+9     T09E: Machine Learning and Scientific Computing
          R2     T13E: Advances in Mixture Models
          R10     T16E: Nonlinear Time Series Modelling
          R6+7     T24E: Computational Econometrics
          Med-1     Tut3E: Tutorial on Threshold Accepting
12:30 - 14:30     Break and CSDA Editorial & ERS Meetings
14:30 - 16:30     PARALLEL SESSIONS F
          R3+4+5     T03F: Model Selection & Optimization Heuristics
          R11     T04F: Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
          R2     T05F: Computer-Intensive Methods
          R6+7     T08F: Statistics for Functional Data
          R1     T10F: Robust Data Mining
          R8+9     T17F: Financial Econometrics
          R10     T25F: Statistical Algorithms and Software
16:30 - 17:00     Coffee Break
17:00 - 19:00     PARALLEL SESSIONS G
          R2     T03G: Model Selection & Optimization Heuristics
          R6+7     T09G: Machine Learning and Scientific Computing
          R1     T10G: Robust Data Mining
          R3+4+5     T16G: Nonlinear Time Series Modelling
          R8+9     T19G: Software for Statistical Computing
         
20:15 -       Conference Dinner

Sunday 30th October 2005
08:00 - 10:00     PARALLEL SESSIONS H
          R10     T00H: Contributions to Computational Statistics
          R8     T04H: Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
          R1     T06H: Statistical Learning Methods
          R2     T15H: Mixed Models
          R6+7     T17H: Financial Econometrics
          R3+4+5     T24H: Computational Econometrics
          R9     T27H: Analysis of Symbolic and Structured Data
10:00 - 10:30     Coffee Break
10:30 - 12:30     PARALLEL SESSIONS I
          R9     T01I: Functional Genomics
          R3+4+5     T03I: Model Selection & Optimization Heuristics
          R1     T05I: Computer-Intensive Methods
          R10     T06/9I: Machine and Statistical Learning Methods
          R2     T08I: Statistics for Functional Data
          R6+7     T12I: Statistical Signal Extraction & Filtering
          R8     T23I: Fuzzy Statistical Analysis
          R11     T25I: Statistical Algorithms and Software
12:30 - 14:15     Break
14:15 - 15:15     R1+2     IASC plenary talk (Gilbert Saporta)
         
15:30 -       Excursion

Monday 31st October 2005
08:00 - 10:00     PARALLEL SESSIONS J
          R3+4+5     T07J: Clinical Trials
          R8     T11J: Latent Variable and SEM
          R1     T13J: Advances in Mixture Models
          R6+7     T16J: Nonlinear Time Series Modelling
          R9     T21J: Recursive Partitioning and Related Methods
          R2     T24J: Computational Econometrics
          R10     ERCIM1: Data Assimilation and its Application
10:00 - 10:30     Coffee Break
10:30 - 12:30     PARALLEL SESSIONS K
          R8     T00K: Design of Experiments
          R1     T05K: Computer-Intensive Methods
          R2     T13K: Mixture Models
          R6+7     T20K: Customer Relationship Management
          R9     T22K: Partial Least Squares
          R3+4+5     T25K: Statistical Algorithms and Software
          R10     ERCIM2: QR and Other Factorizations
12:30 - 14:30     Break and ERCIM Meeting
14:30 - 15:30     R1+2     ASA plenary talk (Joyce C. Niland)
15:30 - 15:45     Closing of the Conference


 
 

         
Plenary Talks

Friday 8:15 - 9:15            Room: R1+2           Chair: Stanley Azen
 
  Methodology plenary talk:
  Comparing Groups and Studying Associations.
   Prof. Rand Wilcox, Department of Psychology, University of Southern California, USA.
 

Friday 18:15 - 19:15          Room: R1+2            Chair: Bernard Philippe
 
  Computational Statistics plenary talk:
  Optimization Heuristics in Economics and Statistics .
   Prof. Manfred Gilli, University of Geneva, Switzerland.
 

Sunday 14:15 - 15:15          Room: R1+2           Chair: Jae Chang Lee
 
  IASC plenary talk:
  Some Statistical Aspects of Credit Scoring.
   Prof. Gilbert Saporta, Conservatoire National des Arts et Metiers, France. President of IASC.
 

Monday 14:30 - 15:30         Room: R1+2           Chair: Norbert Victor
 
  ASA plenary talk:
  Biomedical Informatics: The Key to Translational Research.
   Prof. Joyce C. Niland, City of Hope National Medical Center, Los Angeles, USA. Vice-President of ASA.






Session T02A Friday 10:30-12:30
Robust and Nonparametric Methods
Chair: Rand Wilcox Room: R1


 Bayesian R-Estimates 


Thomas Hettmansperger, Xiaojiang Zhan


 Symmetrized M-estimators with applications to Independent Component Analysis 


Sara Taskinen, Seija Sirkia, Hannu Oja


 Iteratively reweighted least squares support vector regression 


Michiel Debruyne, Andreas Christmann, Mia Hubert, Johan Suykens


 A nonparametric method for comparison of two diagnostic systems based on ROC curves 


Ana Cristina Braga, Lino Costa, Pedro Oliveira


 Two-way ANOVA for the bipolar Watson distribution 


Adelaide Figueiredo


 Fully Nonparametric ANCOVA with Fixed Window Sizes 


Efi Antoniou, Michael Akritas

Session T04A Friday 10:30-12:30
Applications in Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
Chair: Herman Van DijkRoom: R3+4+5


 Learning the Shape of the Likelihood of Typical Econometric Models using Gibbs Sampling 


Herman Van Dijk


 Estimation of temporally aggregated volatility models 


Jeroen Rombouts, Christian Hafner


 Identifying and correcting misclassified South African equity unit trusts using Bayesian style analysis  


Jan du Plessis


 Time series forecasting by principal covariate regression 


Christiaan Heij, Dick J. Van Dijk, Patrick J.F. Groenen


 Robust Artificial Neural Networks for Pricing and Trading European Options 


Panayiotis Andreou, Spiros Martzoukos, Chris Charalambous


 Bayesian analysis of an endogenous hurdle model: an application to the demand for health care 


Panagiotis Kasteridis, Murat Munkin

Session T07A Friday 10:30-12:30
Clinical Trials
Chair: Markus NeuhaeuserRoom: R6+7


 Choosing cross-over designs when few subjects are available 


Edward Godolphin, Simon Bate, Janet Godolphin


 On detecting an interaction between treatment and a continuous covariate in clinical research 


Willi Sauerbrei, Karina Zapien, Patrick Royston


 Statistical models accounting for surgeon effects in clinical trials 


Steffen Witte


 Estimating correlation measures for bivariate interval censored data using a smooth estimate of the density 


Emmanuel Lesaffre, Kris Bogaerts


 Task of Statistician in Clinical Research Studies 


Y. Groeneveld

Session T09A Friday 10:30-12:30
Machine Learning and Scientific Computing
Chair: Efstratios GallopoulosRoom: R8+9


 Pattern Recognition using Higher Order SVD 


Lars Elden


 Word similarity in graph-based dictionaries 


Agusti Solanes, Vicenc Torra, Yasuo Narukawa


 Fast Bayesian Implementation of Hierarchical Mixtures of Experts and Stochastic Neural Networks: Gibbs Sampler with Parameters Expansion 


Samuel Po-Shing Wong, Tze Leung Lai, Jun Liu


 A Stochastic Approximation View of Boosting 


C. Andy Tsao, Yuan-chin Ivan Chang


 Unsupervised Clustering using Principal Directions Guidance 


Efstratios Gallopoulos, Dimitrios Tasoulis, Michael Vrahatis, Dimitrios Zeimpekis


 Recovery of Glassless images by recursive KPCA reconstruction 


Eiji Tokuda, Toshio Sakata, Ryuei Nishii

Session T13A Friday 10:30-12:30
Advances in Mixture Models
Chair: Bernard GarelRoom: R2


 Some finite sample nonparametric techniques useful for the anlysis of mixtures 


Guenther Walther


 Heterogeneity in Meta-analysis of Clinical Trials 


Rebecca DerSimonian, Kai Yu


 Some general points for zero-truncated count mixture models 


Dankmar Boehning


 Bootstrap confidence intervals for reliability measures for discrete distributions 


Dimitris Karlis, Valentin Patilea


 Finite Mixture Model Diagnostics using Resampling Methods 


Bettina Gruen, Friedrich Leisch


 Maximum likelihood estimation for finite mixture of location-scale distributions using cross-validation 


Kentaro Tanaka

Session T18A Friday 10:30-12:30
Flexible function estimation in high dimensional problems
Chair: Michael G. SchimekRoom: R10


 Bandwidth selection for nonparametric regression - plug-in method 


Jan Kolacek


 Nonparametric Components in Highdimensional Generalized Regression Models 


Marlene Muller, Michael G. Schimek


 Stochastic spectral methods for Bayesian inference in inverse problems 


Youssef Marzouk, Habib Najm, Larry Rahn


 A Quick Procedure for Model Selection in the Case of Mixture of Normal Densities 


Ennio Davide Isaia, Alessandra Durio


 Bivariate additive models with a copula dependence structure: a Bayesian approach 


Philippe Lambert

Session Tut4A Friday 10:30-12:30
Tutorial
Chair: Tommaso ProiettiRoom: Med-1


 Statistical Signal Extraction and Filtering 


D.S.G Pollock

Session T02B Friday 14:30-16:30
Robust and Nonparametric Methods
Chair: Rand WilcoxRoom: R1


 Nonparametric Likelihood confidence bounds for the mean of Highly Skewed Data 


Yaw Bimpeh, Cecily Kelleher


 Robust HCCME Performances in Small Samples 


Mehmet Orhan


 A Studentized Permutation Test for the Nonparametric Behrens-Fisher Problem 


Karin Neubert


 Lepage type statistic based on the modified Baumgartner statistic 


Hidetoshi Murakami


 Robust fuzzy classification 


Bruno Bertaccini, Matilde Bini


 Robustness of Estimation in the Exponential Distribution under Dependencies in a Sample 


Anna Olwert

Session T04B Friday 14:30-16:30
Applications in Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
Chair: Patrick GroenenRoom: R6+7


 Identifying a simple Nonstationary model for the S&P500 returns: An approach based on the evolutionary spectral density 


Ahamada Ibrahim


 Testing the Local One-way Effect and Its Application to Japanese Income and Money 


Feng Yao


 Classification-relevant Importance Measures for the German Business Cycle 


Daniel Enache


 Robust clustering for multivariate models with regimes 


Georgios Tsiotas, Lucio Sarno


 The international transmission of financial crisis 


Kostas Giannopoulos

Session T05B Friday 14:30-16:30
Computer-intensive methods for dependent data
Chair: Qiwei YaoRoom: R2


 Very High-Dimensional Data: Greedy Boosting and Convex Lasso-Relaxation 


Peter Buehlmann


 Nonparametric Modelling and Estimation of Stochastic Volatility 


Jens-Peter Kreiss, Andreas Duerkes


 Block Bootstrap for irregularly spaced spatial data 


Soumendra Lahiri


 Quantile estimation for the payoff from a weather derivative 


Jeremy Penzer, Stephen Jewson


 New Methods for Multivatiate Volatility Modeling 


Mingjin Wang, Qiwei Yao


 Stepwise Multiple Testing as Formalized Data Snooping 


Michael Wolf

Session T06B Friday 14:30-16:30
Statistical Learning Methods involving Dimensionality Reduction
Chair: Maurizio VichiRoom: R8+9


 Two-mode partitioning 


Maurizio Vichi, Rocci Roberto


 Towards a unifying framework for a broad class of simultaneous clustering methods for multiway data 


Iven Van Mechelen


 An EM algorithm for the Block Mixture Model of contingency table 


Mohamed Nadif, Gerard Govaert


 Two-way Clustering for a Contingency Table: Maximizing Dependence Between Row and Column Clusters by Using Phi-Divergence and Bregman Measures 


Hans-Hermann Bock


 How many cluster structures? Answers via a model-based procedure 


Giuliano Galimberti, Gabriele Soffritti


 Clustering objects on subsets of variables: Looking at the weights and using the homotopy strategy 


Jacqueline J. Meulman, Jerome H. Friedman

Session T08B Friday 14:30-16:30
Statistics for Functional data
Chair: Philippe VieuRoom: R3+4+5


 A Model for Functional Data with Binary Response 


Belen M Fernandez de Castro, Wenceslao Gonzalez Manteiga


 Curves discrimination: non parametric methods and spectral analysis 


Sylvie Viguier-Pla, Frederic Ferraty, Philippe Vieu


 Estimating Nonlinear Differential Equation Systems from Noisy Data 


James Ramsay, Giles Hooker


 Estimating time-varying quantiles of nearly stationary stochastic processes, with applications to ozone time series 


Serge Guillas, Dana Draghicescu, Wei Biao Wu


 Functional Principal Components for Generalized Longitudinal Data 


Hans-Georg Muller, Peter Hall, Fang Yao


 Wavelet Methods for Testing Equality of Curves 


Alwell Oyet, Pengfei Guo

Session T11B Friday 14:30-16:30
Latent Variable and Structural Equation Models
Chair: Irini MoustakiRoom: R10


 A Supersimulator for Structural Equation Models 


Fan Wallentin, Karl Joreskog


 Multilevel Models as Structural Equation Models 


Karl Joreskog


 Robustness properties of the two parameter latent trait model for binary data 


Panagiota Tzamourani, Martin Knott


 Identifying extreme response patterns: a latent variable approach 


Irini Moustaki, Martin Knott


 Meta-Analysis and latent variable model for Binary Data 


Jian Qing Shi


 PLS and one dimensional latent variable scorecards 


Joe Whittaker, Anastasia Lykou

Session Tut1B Friday 14:30-16:30
Tutorial
Chair: Stavros SiokosRoom: Med-1


 Data Analysis Techniques for Evaluating Trading Strategies 


Patrick Burns

Session T00C Friday 17:00-18:000
Contributions to Statistics
Chair: Maria Angeles GilRoom: R6+7


 Inference Concerning Effect Size 


S. Ejaz Ahmed


 The Effect of Non-normal Error Terms on the Properties of Systemwise RESET Test 


Ghazi Shukur, Ghadban Khalaf


 A New Method to Detect Lack-of-Fit on a Circle 


Ellen Deschepper, Olivier Thas, Jean-Pierre Ottoy

Session T02C Friday 17:00-18:00
Robust and Nonparametric Methods
Chair: Rand WilcoxRoom: R8+9


 Smooth monotonic regression 


Florian Leitenstorfer, Gerhard Tutz


 Efficient algorithms for solving monotonic regression problems 


Oleg Burdakov, Anders Grimvall, Oleg Sysoev


 Quantile Curves and Dependence Structure for Bivariate Distributions 


Alfonso Suarez-Llorens, Felix Belzunce, Antonia Castano, Ana Olvera

Session T12C Friday 17:00-18:00
Statistical Signal Extraction and Filtering
Chair: Jesse BarlowRoom: R3+4+5


 Robust pattern detection in time series 


Roland Fried, Ursula Gather


 Performance Evaluation of Some Change Detection and Data Segmentation Methods 


Theodor-Dan Popescu


 Particle Filter for Inference on Business Cycle and Equity Prices Volatility 


Roberto Casarin, Trecroci Carmine

Session T02D Saturday 08:00-10:00
Robust and Nonparametric Methods
Chair: Rand WilcoxRoom: R1


 Robust Methods for Generalized Linear Models With Nonignorable Missing Covariates 


Sanjoy Sinha


 Robust nonparametric estimation with missing data 


Ana Perez Gonzalez, Graciela Boente, Wenceslao Gonzalez Manteiga


 Grade Correspondence Analysis of Data with Missing Values 


Olaf Matyja


 The empirical distribution of robust distances as a tool in analyzing large, non-normal data sets 


Mark Werner


 The Chen-Luo test in case of heteroscedasticity 


Markus Neuhaeuser


 Constrained Flexible Weighted Generalized Estimating Equations 


Niel Hens, Christel Faes, Marc Aerts

Session T03D Saturday 08:00-10:00
Model Selection and Optimization Heuristics
Chair: Petko YanevRoom: R11


 On properties of predictors derived with a two-step bootstrap model averaging approach - a simulation study in the linear regression model 


Anika Buchholz, Norbert Hollander, Willi Sauerbrei


 Applications of a technique for estimator densities (TED) in the presence of model misspecification 


Peter Hingley


 Selection of smoothing paremeter in Lasso 


Hideyuki Imai, Seiichi Miyauchi, Yoshiharu Sato


 Comparing Functional Networks with some Classification Methods 


Rosa Eva Pruneda, Beatriz Lacruz, Cristina Solares


 Differential geometry and model selection 


Peter Hasto


 Bayesian information criteria and smoothing parameter selection in lasso models 


Teppei Shimamura, Masahiro Mizuta

Session T06D Saturday 08:00-10:00
Statistical Learning Methods involving Dimensionality Reduction
Chair: Hans Hermann BockRoom: R2


 PLS Regression Approaches in Statistical Genomics 


Anne-Laure Boulesteix, Korbinian Strimmer


 Relative Projection Pursuit: Theory and Applications 


Masahiro Mizuta


 Steps toward the individualized treatment, the challenge and opportunity to computational statistics 


Steven Cen, Catherine Sugar, David Conti, Doug Stahl, Stanley Azen,


 Structural learning of variable-dimensional Bayesian models using parallel interacting search processes 


Jukka Corander, Magnus Ekdahl, Timo Koski


 Implementations of Fisher's linear discriminant analysis from the numerical point of view 


Pavel Schlesinger, Jurjen Duintjer Tebbens


 Cross Entropy based Kenrel LVQ and its application to word recognition 


Tan Chiang Chin, Toshio Sakata, Ryuei Nishii

Session T12D Saturday 08:00-10:00
Statistical Signal Extraction and Filtering
Chair: D.S.G PollockRoom: R10


 Bayesian Analysis of Output Gap 


Christophe Planas, Alessandro Rossi, Gabriele Fiorentini


 Comparative economic cycles 


Stephen Pollock, Iolanda Lo Cascio


 Simultaneous tests in the Time-Frequency Plane for Electroencephalogram signals 


Olivier Renaud, Claudia Catalfo, Christian Mazza


 A Unifying Framework for Analysing Common Cyclical Features in Cointegrated Time Series 


Gianluca Cubadda


 Decomposition of Wavelet Locally Stationary Processes 


Kostas Triantafyllopoulos

Session T17D Saturday 08:00-10:00
Financial econometrics
Chair: Giampiero GalloRoom: R8+9


 Augmented log-periodogram regression in long memory signal plus noise models 


Josu Arteche


 GARCH options In incomplete markets 


Giovanni Barone-Adesi, Robert Engle, Loriano Mancini


 Random Portfolios: Some Answers and Questions 


Patrick Burns


 Spillover and Interdependence across Markets: a New Approach 


Giampiero Gallo, Margherita Velucchi


 Mixed effect models for absolute log returns of ultra high frequency data 


Claudia Czado, Stephan Haug


 Generalized Variance Ratio tests in the presence of statistical dependence 


John Nankervis, Jerry Coakley, Periklis Kougoulis

Session T25D Saturday 08:00-10:00
Statistical Algorithms and Software
Chair: Cristian GatuRoom: R6+7


 A software for imputing missing data using Bayesian networks 


Marco Sacco, Marco Di Zio, Giuseppe Sacco, Mauro Scanu, Paola Vicard


 A statistical software tool via web: R-php 


Angelo Mineo, Alfredo Pontillo


 Multiplicative interaction models in R 


Heather Turner, David Firth


 LadyBug - a software environment for stochastic epidemic models 


Michael Hoehle


 S4 Object Oriented Programming for Matrix classes in R 


Martin Maechler, Douglas Bates


 A Fortran Package For Weighted Least Squares Piecewise Monotonic Data Fit 


Ioannis Demetriou

Session T27D Saturday 08:00-10:00
Analysis of Symbolic and Structured Data
Chair: Paula BritoRoom: R3+4+5


 Approaches to Linear Discriminant Analysis of Interval Data 


A. Pedro Duarte Silva, Paula Brito


 PLS Regression of Factor Interval Data and Its Application on Behaviors Analysis of China Stock Market 


Huiwen Wang, Dapeng Li, Henry M.K. Mok


 Modeling Interval Time Series Data 


Paulo Teles, Maria Paula Brito


 Symbolic Analysis to Describe CyberTraffic 


Costantina Caruso, Donato Malerba


 Symbolic objects with times serial variables 


Giannoula Florou


 On the distance measure between time series 


Ahlame Chouakria Douzal

Session Tut2D Saturday 08:00-10:00
Tutorial
Chair: Zahari ZlatevRoom: Med-1


 Parallel Eigenvalue Solvers 


Bernard Philippe

Session T02E Saturday 10:30-12:30
Robust and Nonparametric Methods
Chair: Rand WilcoxRoom: R1


 Nonparametric Methods for the Analysis of ROC curves from Clustered Data 


Carola Wernerx


 Making fractional polynomial models more robust 


Patrick Royston, Willi Sauerbrei


 Smooth functions and local extreme values 


Arne Kovac


 A comparison of two bootstrap schemes on goodness-of-fit tests in presence of selection bias 


Jorge Luis Ojeda Cabrera, Jose Antonio Cristobal, Jose Tomas Alcala Nalvaiz


 Control charts with robust estimated control limits 


Fernanda Otilia Figueiredo, Maria Ivette Gomes


 Different approaches to ROC curve fitting for a continuous-scale diagnostic test 


Ivanka Horova, Marie Forbelska, Jiri Zelinka

Session T04E Saturday 10:30-12:30
Applications in Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
Chair: Kostas GiannopoulosRoom: R3+4+5


 VIPSCAL: A combined vector-ideal point model for the analysis of preference data 


Katrijn Van Deun, Patrick J. F. Groenen, Luc Delbeke


 Solving degeneracies in nonmetric unfolding: Visualizing consumers' preferences for products 


Patrick Groenen, Alain de Beuckelaer, Frank Busing


 Generalized canonical correlation analysis with missing values 


Michel Van de Velden, Tammo H.A. Bijmolt


 Robust Methods for Credit Risk Management 


Luigi Grossi, Tiziano Bellini


 Redesigning Ratings: Assessing the Discriminatory Power of Credit Scores under Censoring 


Gerald Kroisandt, Marlene Muller, Holger Kraft


 Interest Rate Parity Revisted: An Experiment on the USD/Yen 


Jonathan Batten, Peter G. Szilagyi

Session T08E Saturday 10:30-12:30
Statistics for Functional data
Chair: Wenceslao Gonzalez ManteigaRoom: R11


 Three approaches for analysis of mixed nested designs for functional data 


Irene Epifanio, Guillermo Ayala, Maria Teresa Leon


 Nonlinear estimation of Hilbert-valued autoregressive processes integral operators with wavelet bases methods 


Algirdas Laukaitis


 Nonparametric Regression for Functional Data: Optimal Local Bandwidth Choice 


Benhenni Karim, Rachdi Mustapha, Ferraty Frederic, Vieu Philippe

Session T09E Saturday 10:30-12:30
Machine Learning and Scientific Computing
Chair: Lars EldenRoom: R8+9


 Decomposition of Textmining Graph 


Kaba Bangaly


 A Comparative Study of Bayesian and Neural Network Classifiers 


Cristina Solares


 An Incremental Algorithm for Neighborhood Graphs Construction 


Abdelkader Djamel Zighed, Hakim Hacid


 Folding-up: a new hybrid method for updating the partial singular value decomposition in latent semantic indexing 


Jane E. Tougas, Henry Stern, Raymond J. Spiteri


 Splitting Methods for Nonlinear Diffusion Filtering 


Gaetano Zanghirati, Emanuele Galligani, Valeria Ruggiero


 Quadratic Solvers in Parallel Decomposition Techniques for Support Vector Machines 


Thomas Serafini, Gaetano Zanghirati, Luca Zanni

Session T13E Saturday 10:30-12:30
Advances in Mixture Models
Chair: Wilfried SeidelRoom: R2


 Recent developments in testing for mixture 


Bernard Garel


 Parsimonious Latent Class Models 


Gilles Celeux, Christophe Biernacki, Gerard Govaert


 Imputation through finite mixture models 


Ugo Guarnera, Marco Di Zio, Orietta Luzi


 Detection of differentially expressed genes in microarray data through semiparametric mixing 


Alessio Farcomeni, Marco Alfo, Luca Tardella


 Gaussian Mixture Model Classification: a Projection Pursuit approach 


Calo Daniela Giovanna


 Mixture models for heterogeneity in ranked data 


Brian Francis, Regina Dittrich, Reinhold Hatzinger

Session T16E Saturday 10:30-12:30
Nonlinear time series modelling
Chair: Alessandra AmendolaRoom: R10


 Testing for multivariate autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity using wavelets 


Pierre Duchesne


 Comparison of non-nested threshold nonlinear heteroscedastic models 


Richard Gerlach, Cathy Chen, Mike So


 Using auxiliary residuals to detect conditional heteroscedasticity in inflation 


Esther Ruiz, Carmen Broto


 Maximum likelihood estimation of GARCH processes when the parameter is on the boundary of the parameter space 


Jean-Michel Zakoian, Christian Francq


 The Impact of General Non-parametric Volatility Functions in Multivariate GARCH Models 


Francesco Audrino


 Coherent Forecasting in Integer Time Series Models 


Robert Jung, Andrew R. Tremayne

Session T24E Saturday 10:30-12:30
Computational Econometrics
Chair: Jan MagnusRoom: R6+7


 Bias-Adjusted Estimation and Unit Root Testing in the ARX(1) Model 


Marc Paolella, Simon Broda, Kai Carstensen


 Robust covariance matrix estimation for generalized elliptically distributed data with missing values 


Uwe Jaekel, Gabriel Frahm


 Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Prediction in Misspecified and Improved Panel Data Models with an Application to Gasoline Demand 


Swamy Paravastu, Wisam Yaghi, Jatinder Mehta, I-Lok Chang


 The asymptotic and finite sample distribution of an inconsistent instrumental variable estimator 


Jan Kiviet, Jerzy Niemczyk


 A multivariate out-of-sample test for Granger causality 


Sarah Gelper, Christophe Croux


 Estimation of income distribution and detection of subpopulations: an explanatory model 


Emmanuel Flachaire, Olivier Nunez

Session Tut3E Saturday 10:30-12:30
Tutorial
Chair: Manfred GilliRoom: Med-1


 Threshold Accepting: Concepts and Implementations for Optimization Problems in Econometrics and Statistics 


Peter Winker

Session T03F Saturday 14:30-16:30
Model Selection and Optimization Heuristics
Chair: Manfred GilliRoom: R3+4+5


 Algorithm Selection Using Sampling 


Chris Bennett, Walter D. Potter


 Tree-Forest Selection in Graphical Models 


Klea Panayidou


 Fast S-regression estimates with the threshold accepting heuristic 


Manfred Gilli, Alfio Marazzi


 Asymptotic consistency of the PC algorithm for high-dimensional sparse directed acyclic graphs (DAGs)  


Markus Kalisch, Peter Buehlmann


 A Nonlinear Approximation Formula Generator for Very High Dimensional Data A New Hybrid Approach Based on Variable Selection and Genetic Programming 


Werner Groissboeck, Erich Peter Klement


 Automated Response Surface Methodology for Stochastic Optimization Models with Unknown Variance 


Robin Nicolai, Rommert Dekker

Session T04F Saturday 14:30-16:30
Applications in Macro-Economics, Finance and Marketing
Chair: Paolo FoschiRoom: R11


 Modelling convergence in the presence of transitional dynamics: Evidence from the Greek inflation data.  


Veni Arakelian, Demetris Moschos


 Fractional Cointegration and Commodities Futures Hedging 


Jian Dollery, Neil Kellard, Jerry Coakley


 A forecasting system for the expenditure of public investments 


Carlo Amati, Francisco Barbaro, Fabio De Angelis, Maria Alessandra Guerrizio


 Short- and long-run effects of promotions on store sales 


Marzia Freo, Sergio Brasini, Giorgio Tassinari


 The Role of Public Investment Projects in Local Development : A Spatial Equilibrium Approach 


Pietro Cova, Carla Carlucci


 Statistical Detection of Upward Trends in Large Datasets of Trade Flows 


Spyros Arsenis, Athina Karvounaraki

Session T05F Saturday 14:30-16:30
Computer-intensive methods for dependent data
Chair: P. BuehlmannRoom: R2


 Measuring informational gain from a dynamic data disaggregation procedure in a Maximum Entropy framework 


Rosa Bernardini Papalia


 Approximate Regeneration-schemes for Markov chains 


Patrice Bertail, Stephane Clemencon


 Improvement of the quasi-likelihood ratio test in ARMA models: some results for bootstrap methods 


Alessandra Canepa, Leslie G. Godfrey


 An Entropy based Bootstrap Test for Nonlinear Dependence in Time Series 


Simone Giannerini


 Indirect Estimation of Markov Switching Models with Endogenous Switching 


Francesca Di Iorio, Edoardo Otranto, Giorgio Calzolari


 Fourier methods for testing multivariate dependance 


Simos Meintanis

Session T08F Saturday 14:30-16:30
Statistics for Functional data
Chair: Wenceslao Gonzalez ManteigaRoom: R6+7


 Impartial Trimmed k-means and Classification Rules for Functional Data 


Ricardo Fraiman, Juan Cuesta-Albertos


 Common functional component modelling 


Alois Kneip, Michael Benko


 Goodness of fit tests for functional data 


Juan A. Cuesta-Albertos, Eustasio del Barrio, Ricardo Fraiman, Carlos Matran


 A depth based inference for functional data 


Juan Romo, Sara Lopez-Pintado


 Spatial nonparametric density estimation 


Sophie Dabo-Niang, Anne-Francoise Yao


 Functional Partial Least Squares logit model 


Manuel Escabias, Ana M. Aguilera, Mariano J. Valderrama

Session T10F Saturday 14:30-16:30
Robust data mining
Chair: Christophe CrouxRoom: R1


 A fast algorithm for S-regression estimates 


Victor Yohai, Matias Salibian-Barrera


 Selecting variables in robust regression 


Stefan Van Aelst, Jafar Khan, Ruben Zamar


 Bootstrapping cluster stability 


Christian Hennig


 Assessing individual clusters and two types of partial membership on the basis of measures of partitional stability.  


Patrice Bertrand, Ghazi Bel Mufti, Lassad El Moubarki


 A Boosting Algorithm via Sequential Monte Carlo : GibbsBoost 


Yasunori Hongo, Yohei Nakada, Takashi Matsumoto


 p-values for robust tests for the linear model 


Matias Salibian-Barrera

Session T17F Saturday 14:30-16:30
Financial econometrics
Chair: Zdenek HlavkaRoom: R8+9


 Fast algorithm for nonparametric arbitrage-free SPD estimation 


Zdenek Hlavka


 Time-varying Beta Risk of Pan-European Sectors: A Comparison of Alternative Modelling Techniques 


Sascha Mergner


 Volatility Dynamics in Higher Order ARMA and Component Stochastic Volatility 


Hiroyuki Kawakatsu


 On Neural Network Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk 


Siu Leung Fung, Ching Wai Ki, Ng Kwok Po, Siu Tak Kuen


 Analyzing and Exploiting Asymmetries in the News Impact Curve 


Sven Steude, Marc Paolella, Markus Haas, Stefan Mittnik

Session T25F Saturday 14:30-16:30
Statistical Algorithms and Software
Chair: Gilles CeleuxRoom: R10


 The Stochastics of Threshold Accepting: Analysis of an Application to the Uniform Design Problem 


Peter Winker


 Model selection via penalization in the additive Cox model 


Marta Avalos, Yves Grandvalet, Christophe Ambroise


 Extended Leaps: A modern implementation of a time tested classic 


A. Pedro Duarte Silva


 Mean-field variational approximate Bayesian inference for latent variable models 


Jean-Michel Marin, Guido Consonni


 Cross Entropy based p-value calculation of three way contingency tables 


Toshio Sakata, Ryuichi Swae, Ryuei Nishii


 A matrix minimisation problem 


John Gower, Frank Critchley

Session T03G Saturday 17:00-19:00
Model Selection and Optimization Heuristics
Chair: Berc RustemRoom: R2


 Robust Portfolios with Range Forecasts 


Berc Rustem, Nalan Gulpinar


 Impact Cost Modelling 


Stavros Siokos, Robert Almgren, Chee Thum, Emmanuel Hauptmann


 A Heuristic Approach towards an Integrated View on Portfolio Return, Market Risk, Credit Risk and Operational Risk 


Andreas Mitschele, Frank Schlottmann, Detlef Seese


 Model Selection Based on Presmoothing 


Marc Aerts, Niel Hens, Jeffrey S. Simonoff


 A new numerical method to solve general equilibrium models. An application to optimal provision of public inputs 


Antonio Jesus Sanchez Fuentes, Diego Martinez Lopez


 Detecting social interactions in bivariate probit models: Some simulation results 


Johannes Jaenicke

Session T09G Saturday 17:00-19:00
Machine Learning and Scientific Computing
Chair: Mike BerryRoom: R6+7


 Text Mining Using a Gradient Descent Constrained Least Squares Method for Nonnegative Matrix Factorization 


Michael Berry, Murray Browne, Paul Pauca, Bob Plemmons


 k--means clustering by smoothing techniques 


Jacob Kogan


 Computational Methods for Nonnegative Matrix Factorization in Image Data Analysis 


Bob Plemmons, Paul Pauca, Michael Berry


 Constrained Unidimensional Scaling 


Sio Iong Ao, Michael Ng, Pak Sham


 Boosting Algorithm that Maximizes the area under ROC curve 


Yuan-chin Ivan Chang


 Randomized Algorithms for Matrices and Large Data Sets 


Michael Mahoney, Petros Drineas

Session T10G Saturday 17:00-19:00
Robust data mining
Chair: Stefan van AelstRoom: R1


 Robust Methods and Data Mining 


Ruben Zamar, Will Welch, Yi Lin, Guohua Yan


 Robust unemployment data analysis 


Tadeusz Bednarski


 Simultaneous Robust Estimation and Variable Selection 


Roy Welsch, Lauren McCann


 A Simulation Technique for extracting Robust Association Rules 


Martine Cadot


 Fast Algorithms for Robust Classification 


Marco Riani, Anthony Atkinson


 Trimmed Aggregation of Classifiers 


Kristel Joossens

Session T16G Saturday 17:00-19:00
Nonlinear time series modelling
Chair: Christian FrancqRoom: R3+4+5


 Exploring the dynamics of the treasury note and interest rate swap markets using bivar